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I Was Wrong: Democrats Won A Dunkirk Victory In Shutdown Defeat

In 1940, Winston Churchill ordered the evacuation of 338, 000 troops facing annihilation on the beaches of Dunkirk. Churchill called the successful operation “a miracle of deliverance.” Historians portray it as a perfect example of victory in defeat. Democrats raging at eight members of their caucus for ending the government shutdown might take a few lessons from the master of morale and strategy. What some hotheads framed as “capitulation” is, in the long run, the wisest plan. Right after Dunkirk, Churchill famously said, “Wars are not won by evacuations.” That is so, but stopping a potential disaster lets your side fight another day. Ending the shutdown prevented negative outcomes that had begun chugging the Democrats’ way. Shutdowns almost always bite the party that starts them. The record for this is so strong that I thought Democrats had erred from Day One. I was wrong. Democrats effectively used the headlines to highlight the issue sure to haunt Republicans come the midterms: the soaring cost of health care. Democrats prevailed in the recent elections, partly on threats to their health coverage, partly on rising food prices, tariff chaos and in-your-face corruption. But at a certain point, the news started turning from the fight to extend the Obamacare subsidies to flights being canceled and the poor losing food assistance. With Thanksgiving approaching, the sight of family members sitting on suitcases in airports is not optimal. As many more Americans feel shutdown pain at the personal level, Democrats are harder pressed to avoid blame, even if the public liked certain items they were fighting for. Now some firebrands just want a fight. But their contention that reopening the government caused a loss of leverage is based on illusion. Democrats never held meaningful leverage because they don’t have the votes. Republicans control the White House, the House, and the Senate. To quote Barack Obama, “Elections have consequences.”The election of Trump and a mostly pliant Republican Congress created such consequences as attacks on Obamacare and, more ominously, our democratic institutions. Democrats can offer a prettier set of consequences, but they can only deliver them if they retake control. The Democrats’ winning message should be, elect us and we will restore health care security. Even the temporary loss of it will hit home. As another great American, Joni Mitchell, sang, “Don’t it always seem to go that you don’t know what you’ve got till it’s gone?”Now, if the shutdown worked in avoiding even some pain, that would be an argument in favor. But it wasn’t. Speaking for Democrats who voted to reopen the government, Maine Sen. Angus King, an independent, posed the right question: “Does the shutdown further the goal of achieving some needed support for the extension of the tax credits?” (He’s referring to credits that were temporarily increased during the pandemic, making coverage cheaper for millions.)These senators come from the swing states of Nevada, Virginia, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Maine. They are key to Democrats obtaining and keeping a majority in Congress. Without them, Democrats have no hope of obtaining real power. And without real power, their politics are just performance. As noted, the shutdown did succeed in putting the specter of lost health coverage front and center. That mission has been accomplished. Trump’s now railing that Obamacare is a “scam” to get the insurance companies filthy rich. Democrats should thank him for calling this revered benefit a “scam.”Assessing the dire situation at Dunkirk, Churchill chose not to make a heroic yet suicidal stand. But he followed closely with his immortal “We shall fight on the beaches” speech a rally to the nation for continued resistance. The midterms are the beaches that Democrats should be storming.

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Trump ‘showed his weakness’ with voters — and Democrats can exploit it

On Monday, President Donald Trump threw a ‘deranged rant’ on Truth Social, attacking air traffic controllers who dared take time off during their unpaid shutdown. He also falsely claimed additional money can be sent to controllers who did not take time off. It was all nonsense, said “Daily Blast” host Greg Sargent, but the tantrum “showed his weakness,” on the shutdown. Eight Democrats in the Senate broke with the party and agreed to a temporary funding bill that does not contain the signature health subsidies that Trump and Republicans stole from Americans with Trump’s budget bill this past summer. This is galling, said Sargent because the concession comes “right after Trump and the GOP suffered a massive electoral rebuke” that proved their weakness to voters.“That Trump rant illustrates the power dynamics here pretty clearly,” said Sargent. “As long as the government is shut down, he’s reduced to ranting furiously and threatening government workers to try to get them to somehow minimize the political pain he’s feeling. ‘Go to work or else I’ll dock you,’ right? Yet this dynamic seems lost on the Democrats who caved. We keep hearing from them stuff like, the shutdown wasn’t working because Trump wasn’t caving, but he was swirling down the drain politically. So it was working in that sense.”“Off Message” substack writer Brian Beutler, said many Democrats were driven to cave by a “generosity of spirit” that Trump does not have. “The shutdown went on for 40 days, there was real pain, not just for government employees people who lost SNAP benefits were gonna go hungry. And people who needed to travel were finding their flights canceled or delayed, “ Beutler said. “. But Trump chose to do those things. Trump chose to make that pain happen, thinking that it would hurt Democrats, but it kept hurting him.”Beutler went on to point out that Trump wanted to cut SNAP benefits “because he thought it would hurt Democrats with their bleeding hearts, . but then he realized that it was going to cause him pain. So, he said he would reinstate some of the SNAP benefits. And then he went to court to [stop that]. He kept going in these circles because he didn’t have any good moves,” Beutler said.“All the pain is experienced or at least most of it is being experienced by him, politically speaking,” said Sargent. Democrats’ concession, said Beutler, may act as a kind of bluff call that highlights the president’s cruelty and his willingness to cause voters pain. “If you win [the subsidy battle], then you actually shield Donald Trump and voters from the consequences of Republican policy. You reduce the harm he meant to inflict on the public. And if the public never understands what they voted for, they’ll never necessarily know why they shouldn’t vote that way again in the future.”Hear and read the “Daily Blast” episode at this link.