Two days after Florida fired Billy Napier, an early favorite has emerged to become the next Gators head coach. Ole Miss’s Lane Kiffin leads the market as a 64 percent favorite to replace Napier, according to Kalshi, a New York-based financial exchange and prediction market.
Kiffin, who experienced his first loss to No. 5 Georgia on Saturday, has led the No. 8 Rebels to a 6-1 start, currently placing fourth in the SEC. Following him is James Franklin, recently fired by Penn State, who holds the second-best chance at 26 percent. No. 15 Missouri’s Eliah Drinkwitz is next with a 10 percent chance. Drinkwitz’s Tigers, also 6-1, are coming off a thrilling overtime victory over Auburn on Saturday.
Other than Georgia Tech’s Brent Key, who has a three percent chance of being hired, no other candidates have gained significant traction. As of Tuesday evening, the market, which opened at 10 a.m. Eastern, has attracted $8,022 in bets on Kalshi.
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Florida parted ways with head coach Billy Napier on Sunday, less than 24 hours after a sloppy and inconsistent performance in a narrow 23-21 win over Mississippi State. The game was emblematic of the issues that plagued Napier’s four-year tenure in Gainesville, including puzzling play-calling decisions and prolonged offensive stagnation.
Athletic director Scott Stricklin made the decision to move on from Napier shortly after the game, with Florida’s record standing at 3-4. Over four seasons, Napier compiled a 22-23 record at Florida, including 12-16 in SEC play. He went just 5-17 against ranked teams and 0-14 on the road. Napier became the first Florida coach since the 1940s to leave the program without a winning record.
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Florida wide receivers coach Billy Gonzales has been named interim head coach and will lead the team for the remainder of the season. The Gators will head into a bye week before preparing for their first matchup without Napier against No. 5 Georgia on Nov. 1.
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Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB, and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.
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https://nypost.com/2025/10/21/betting/florida-next-coach-odds-early-favorite-emerges-to-replace-fired-billy-napier/
